XRP 1.023 $
rang relatif 28/25 · tier laggard · 7j -19.4% · 30j -21.6%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-11-12 17:12 · ATR1h 0.955% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 1.017 | 1.021 | 1.023 | 1.027 | 1.03 |
| 1h | 1.011 | 1.018 | 1.026 | 1.032 | 1.04 |
| 4h | 1.003 | 1.015 | 1.027 | 1.039 | 1.051 |
| 1d | 1.017 | 1.035 | 1.058 | 1.075 | 1.098 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| macd ⚠ mismatch | 44.4% | 38 | 56 | 37 | court |
| volume_breakout ⚠ mismatch | 32.1% | 6 | 13 | 8 | court |
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 19.1% | 42 | 57 | 40 | court |
| mean_reversion | 4.3% | 85 | 100 | 88 | court |
| rsi_divergence | 0.0% | 41 | 82 | 52 | court |
| vwap | 0.0% | 78 | 91 | 80 | court |
| bollinger | 0.0% | 82 | 100 | 73 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 63 | 53 | 79 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-11-12 17:09 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| random_ctrl | short | 1.022 | — | — | OPEN | 2026-11-12 13:15 |
| evd | short | 1.022 | — | — | OPEN | 2026-11-12 13:14 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.057 | 1.063 | -14.7 | tp_trail | 2026-11-10 15:29 |
| evd | short | 1.059 | 1.063 | -14.4 | tp_trail | 2026-11-10 14:54 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.094 | 1.061 | +61.2 | tp_hit | 2026-11-09 14:14 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.11 | 1.104 | +14.3 | tp_trail | 2026-11-08 21:59 |
| evd | short | 1.11 | 1.104 | +16.1 | tp_trail | 2026-11-08 21:59 |
| evd | short | 1.146 | 1.11 | +144.5 | tp_hit | 2026-11-08 21:34 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.187 | 1.173 | +33.3 | tp_trail | 2026-11-06 13:10 |
| evd | short | 1.182 | 1.173 | +18.1 | tp_trail | 2026-11-06 07:49 |
| evd | short | 1.243 | 1.204 | +87.0 | tp_hit | 2026-11-05 15:59 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.286 | 1.243 | +112.0 | tp_hit | 2026-11-05 14:50 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur XRP
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #11 / control #38.