XRP 1.365 $
rang relatif 15/25 · tier neutral · 7j -3.0% · 30j +34.9%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-09-12 21:07 · ATR1h 0.327% · TP cible 2% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 1.362 | 1.363 | 1.365 | 1.365 | 1.367 |
| 1h | 1.36 | 1.362 | 1.364 | 1.366 | 1.368 |
| 4h | 1.353 | 1.358 | 1.365 | 1.37 | 1.377 |
| 1d | 1.251 | 1.303 | 1.368 | 1.42 | 1.485 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| macd | 43.8% | 59 | 37 | 53 | long |
| trend_follow | 30.6% | 71 | 50 | 72 | long |
| volume_breakout | 11.5% | 75 | 40 | 76 | long |
| rsi_divergence ⚠ mismatch | 8.4% | 26 | 0 | 26 | long |
| mean_reversion ⚠ mismatch | 5.3% | 32 | 3 | 34 | long |
| bollinger | 0.2% | 36 | 11 | 34 | long |
| vwap | 0.1% | 12 | 0 | 19 | long |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 58 | 53 | 55 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-09-12 16:34 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| random_ctrl | long | 1.372 | 1.363 | -60.7 | sl_hit | 2026-09-12 16:09 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.333 | 1.36 | -57.9 | sl_hit | 2026-09-11 00:05 |
| control | long | 1.355 | 1.368 | +21.6 | time_stop | 2026-09-10 17:19 |
| evd | short | 1.361 | 1.362 | -3.7 | corr_derisk | 2026-09-10 14:19 |
| evd | short | 1.361 | 1.361 | -2.5 | corr_derisk | 2026-09-10 12:54 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.377 | 1.332 | +118.9 | tp_hit | 2026-09-10 12:04 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.399 | 1.389 | +17.8 | corr_derisk | 2026-09-09 20:09 |
| control | long | 1.399 | 1.373 | -52.8 | sl_hit | 2026-09-09 20:09 |
| random_ctrl | long | 1.415 | 1.427 | +22.5 | tp_trail | 2026-09-08 14:54 |
| evd | long | 1.415 | 1.42 | +9.8 | corr_derisk | 2026-09-08 14:54 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.38 | 1.409 | -56.4 | sl_hit | 2026-09-07 15:49 |
| random_ctrl | long | 1.402 | 1.406 | +9.3 | time_stop | 2026-09-05 06:39 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur XRP
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #11 / control #38.