UNI 5.993 $
rang relatif 10/25 · tier neutral · 7j -18.3% · 30j -10.6%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-11-12 17:12 · ATR1h 1.46% · TP cible 4.5% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 5.985 | 6.005 | 6.029 | 6.049 | 6.073 |
| 1h | 5.931 | 5.978 | 6.046 | 6.093 | 6.161 |
| 4h | 5.818 | 5.914 | 6.019 | 6.115 | 6.22 |
| 1d | 5.809 | 6.019 | 6.42 | 6.63 | 7.031 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| macd ⚠ mismatch | 40.3% | 38 | 56 | 37 | court |
| mean_reversion | 27.2% | 85 | 100 | 88 | court |
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 21.5% | 42 | 57 | 40 | court |
| bollinger | 6.8% | 82 | 100 | 73 | court |
| vwap | 4.1% | 78 | 91 | 80 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 63 | 100 | 77 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-11-12 17:09 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| random_ctrl | short | 6.416 | 6.628 | -54.6 | sl_hit | 2026-11-11 07:09 |
| random_ctrl | short | 6.75 | 6.416 | +57.9 | tp_hit | 2026-11-11 01:59 |
| random_ctrl | short | 6.763 | 6.93 | -54.9 | sl_hit | 2026-11-08 22:49 |
| control | short | 7.099 | 7.029 | +16.0 | tp_trail | 2026-11-06 14:49 |
| evd | short | 7.007 | 7.02 | -3.5 | tp_trail | 2026-11-05 15:29 |
| evd | short | 7.299 | 7.028 | +57.1 | corr_derisk | 2026-11-05 14:04 |
| random_ctrl | short | 7.334 | 7.119 | +45.8 | corr_derisk | 2026-11-05 12:39 |
| evd | long | 7.638 | 7.63 | -2.5 | corr_derisk | 2026-11-04 17:09 |
| control | short | 7.61 | 7.206 | +70.5 | tp_hit | 2026-11-04 15:29 |
| control | short | 7.668 | 7.61 | +9.2 | circuit_breaker | 2026-11-04 15:24 |
| control | short | 7.702 | 7.668 | +5.0 | circuit_breaker | 2026-11-04 15:19 |
| control | short | 7.66 | 7.702 | -8.9 | circuit_breaker | 2026-11-04 15:09 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur UNI
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #14 / control #34.