TAO 208.1 $
rang relatif 13/25 · tier neutral · 7j -7.8% · 30j -20.5%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-11-12 17:12 · ATR1h 1.21% · TP cible 4.5% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 206.9 | 207.5 | 208.2 | 208.8 | 209.6 |
| 1h | 205.6 | 206.8 | 208.9 | 210.2 | 212.2 |
| 4h | 199.7 | 203.8 | 207.9 | 212 | 216.1 |
| 1d | 204.3 | 210.2 | 218.3 | 224.2 | 232.3 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| volume_breakout ⚠ mismatch | 35.4% | 6 | 13 | 8 | court |
| vwap | 21.5% | 78 | 91 | 80 | court |
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 21.5% | 42 | 57 | 40 | court |
| bollinger | 21.5% | 82 | 100 | 73 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 63 | 82 | 86 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-11-12 17:09 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| nodone | short | 221.7 | 218.7 | +0.8 | tp_trail | 2026-11-09 12:34 |
| nodone | short | 222 | 221.6 | +0.0 | time_stop | 2026-11-06 09:24 |
| control | long | 238.6 | 231.4 | -51.4 | sl_hit | 2026-11-04 15:24 |
| nodone | short | 234 | 226.3 | +1.8 | tp_hit | 2026-11-04 14:59 |
| evd | short | 234 | 226.3 | +63.9 | tp_hit | 2026-11-04 14:59 |
| nodone | short | 235.2 | 234 | +0.2 | circuit_breaker | 2026-11-04 14:54 |
| evd | short | 235.2 | 234 | +8.7 | circuit_breaker | 2026-11-04 14:54 |
| nodone | short | 233.2 | 235.2 | -0.6 | circuit_breaker | 2026-11-04 14:49 |
| evd | short | 233.2 | 235.2 | -20.1 | circuit_breaker | 2026-11-04 14:49 |
| nodone | short | 231.3 | 231.5 | -0.1 | tp_trail | 2026-11-04 08:19 |
| control | short | 227.5 | 233.2 | -53.1 | circuit_breaker | 2026-11-04 05:49 |
| nodone | short | 228.5 | 221.4 | +2.6 | tp_hit | 2026-11-03 21:49 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur TAO
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #21 / control #26.