RNDR 1.493 $
rang relatif 6/25 · tier neutral · 7j -3.0% · 30j -25.5%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-11-12 17:12 · ATR1h 1.39% · TP cible 4.5% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 1.483 | 1.489 | 1.496 | 1.502 | 1.509 |
| 1h | 1.468 | 1.482 | 1.503 | 1.517 | 1.538 |
| 4h | 1.43 | 1.464 | 1.484 | 1.518 | 1.538 |
| 1d | 1.458 | 1.506 | 1.572 | 1.62 | 1.686 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| vwap | 54.4% | 78 | 91 | 80 | court |
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 33.0% | 42 | 57 | 40 | court |
| bollinger | 12.6% | 82 | 100 | 73 | court |
| volume_breakout | 0.0% | 6 | 13 | 8 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 63 | 83 | 82 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-11-12 17:09 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| evd | short | 1.621 | 1.607 | +9.9 | tp_trail | 2026-11-11 00:09 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.477 | 1.524 | -50.0 | sl_hit | 2026-11-08 21:59 |
| control | short | 1.574 | 1.613 | -38.7 | circuit_breaker | 2026-11-04 14:59 |
| evd | short | 1.574 | 1.613 | -37.1 | circuit_breaker | 2026-11-04 14:59 |
| control | short | 1.583 | 1.574 | +7.4 | circuit_breaker | 2026-11-04 14:54 |
| evd | short | 1.583 | 1.574 | +7.1 | circuit_breaker | 2026-11-04 14:54 |
| control | short | 1.566 | 1.583 | -18.5 | circuit_breaker | 2026-11-04 14:49 |
| evd | short | 1.566 | 1.583 | -17.8 | circuit_breaker | 2026-11-04 14:49 |
| control | short | 1.535 | 1.566 | -37.6 | circuit_breaker | 2026-11-04 07:54 |
| evd | short | 1.534 | 1.566 | -37.6 | circuit_breaker | 2026-11-04 07:49 |
| evd | short | 1.52 | 1.449 | +108.1 | tp_hit | 2026-11-03 16:04 |
| control | short | 1.593 | 1.577 | +31.9 | tp_trail | 2026-11-01 15:44 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur RNDR
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #20 / control #46.