POL 0.08493 $
rang relatif 8/25 · tier neutral · 7j -9.2% · 30j -11.6%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-11-12 17:12 · ATR1h 0.875% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 0.08459 | 0.08474 | 0.08494 | 0.08509 | 0.08529 |
| 1h | 0.08401 | 0.08445 | 0.08523 | 0.08567 | 0.08645 |
| 4h | 0.0824 | 0.08378 | 0.08453 | 0.08591 | 0.08666 |
| 1d | 0.08346 | 0.08536 | 0.08771 | 0.08961 | 0.09196 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| bollinger | 49.9% | 82 | 100 | 73 | court |
| macd ⚠ mismatch | 16.0% | 38 | 56 | 37 | court |
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 14.3% | 42 | 57 | 40 | court |
| vwap | 11.7% | 78 | 91 | 80 | court |
| mean_reversion | 6.1% | 85 | 100 | 88 | court |
| rsi_divergence | 2.0% | 41 | 82 | 52 | court |
| volume_breakout | 0.1% | 6 | 13 | 8 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 63 | 91 | 85 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-11-12 13:59 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| random_ctrl | short | 0.08408 | 0.08535 | -52.0 | sl_hit | 2026-11-12 13:30 |
| random_ctrl | short | 0.08899 | 0.0881 | +34.4 | tp_trail | 2026-11-08 17:54 |
| random_ctrl | short | 0.09321 | 0.091 | +35.4 | tp_hit | 2026-11-05 15:50 |
| random_ctrl | long | 0.09901 | 0.09693 | -51.0 | sl_hit | 2026-11-05 10:49 |
| control | short | 0.09564 | 0.09867 | -60.8 | sl_hit | 2026-11-04 13:44 |
| evd | short | 0.08844 | 0.08996 | -66.2 | sl_hit | 2026-11-03 14:49 |
| control | long | 0.08962 | 0.08829 | -63.1 | sl_hit | 2026-11-02 07:19 |
| evd | short | 0.08402 | 0.08818 | -65.0 | sl_hit | 2026-10-30 00:29 |
| random_ctrl | long | 0.0916 | 0.08958 | -51.7 | sl_hit | 2026-10-26 15:29 |
| evd | short | 0.09075 | 0.08908 | +59.4 | time_stop | 2026-10-22 08:44 |
| evd | long | 0.09294 | 0.09095 | -66.6 | sl_hit | 2026-10-22 02:24 |
| control | long | 0.09367 | 0.0918 | -62.7 | sl_hit | 2026-10-22 02:09 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur POL
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #17 / control #36.