NEAR 3.393 $
rang relatif 9/25 · tier neutral · 7j -10.6% · 30j -29.6%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-11-12 17:12 · ATR1h 1.57% · TP cible 4.5% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 3.381 | 3.397 | 3.411 | 3.427 | 3.441 |
| 1h | 3.359 | 3.386 | 3.417 | 3.444 | 3.475 |
| 4h | 3.268 | 3.335 | 3.404 | 3.471 | 3.54 |
| 1d | 3.354 | 3.469 | 3.642 | 3.757 | 3.93 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| bollinger | 64.3% | 82 | 100 | 73 | court |
| vwap | 24.7% | 78 | 91 | 80 | court |
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 10.8% | 42 | 57 | 40 | court |
| macd | 0.1% | 38 | 56 | 37 | court |
| volume_breakout | 0.0% | 6 | 13 | 8 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 63 | 100 | 78 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-11-12 17:09 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | short | 3.442 | — | — | OPEN | 2026-11-12 12:04 |
| control | short | 3.548 | 3.693 | -48.9 | sl_hit | 2026-11-09 11:24 |
| control | short | 3.728 | 3.789 | -24.7 | circuit_breaker | 2026-11-05 15:29 |
| random_ctrl | short | 3.781 | 3.704 | +34.4 | corr_derisk | 2026-11-05 15:20 |
| control | short | 3.904 | 3.728 | +74.3 | tp_hit | 2026-11-05 14:54 |
| random_ctrl | short | 3.945 | 3.88 | +35.1 | corr_derisk | 2026-11-05 13:04 |
| random_ctrl | long | 4.234 | 4.052 | -57.7 | sl_hit | 2026-11-04 15:09 |
| control | long | 4.187 | 4.005 | -48.4 | sl_hit | 2026-11-04 14:54 |
| random_ctrl | long | 4.008 | 4.234 | +80.8 | tp_hit | 2026-11-04 13:04 |
| random_ctrl | long | 3.919 | 3.992 | +27.8 | corr_derisk | 2026-11-04 06:24 |
| control | short | 3.829 | 3.812 | +5.8 | tp_trail | 2026-11-03 09:54 |
| random_ctrl | short | 3.85 | 3.829 | +6.6 | tp_trail | 2026-11-02 19:44 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur NEAR
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #7 / control #43.