NEAR 2.354 $
rang relatif 2/25 · tier winner · 7j +8.8% · 30j +44.0%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-09-12 21:07 · ATR1h 1.11% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 2.338 | 2.342 | 2.348 | 2.352 | 2.358 |
| 1h | 2.327 | 2.337 | 2.346 | 2.356 | 2.365 |
| 4h | 2.272 | 2.306 | 2.362 | 2.396 | 2.452 |
| 1d | 2.102 | 2.233 | 2.48 | 2.611 | 2.858 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| bollinger ⚠ mismatch | 71.0% | 36 | 11 | 34 | long |
| vwap ⚠ mismatch | 26.8% | 12 | 0 | 19 | long |
| trend_follow | 1.8% | 71 | 50 | 72 | long |
| macd | 0.3% | 59 | 37 | 53 | long |
| volume_breakout | 0.1% | 75 | 40 | 76 | long |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 61 | 93 | 55 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-09-10 21:34 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| evd | long | 2.396 | 2.508 | +64.6 | tp_hit | 2026-09-10 09:44 |
| random_ctrl | short | 2.416 | 2.358 | +24.0 | time_stop | 2026-09-10 08:04 |
| control | long | 2.45 | 2.45 | -1.6 | time_stop | 2026-09-10 06:29 |
| control | long | 2.446 | 2.45 | +0.6 | tp_trail | 2026-09-09 21:54 |
| evd | long | 2.55 | 2.401 | -65.9 | sl_hit | 2026-09-09 19:39 |
| random_ctrl | long | 2.536 | 2.523 | -5.1 | tp_trail | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| control | long | 2.536 | 2.523 | -4.9 | tp_trail | 2026-09-09 15:29 |
| random_ctrl | long | 2.57 | 2.536 | -14.9 | tp_trail | 2026-09-09 11:44 |
| control | long | 2.57 | 2.536 | -14.3 | tp_trail | 2026-09-09 11:44 |
| random_ctrl | long | 2.442 | 2.57 | +59.2 | tp_hit | 2026-09-09 09:44 |
| control | long | 2.445 | 2.57 | +56.1 | tp_hit | 2026-09-09 07:59 |
| random_ctrl | long | 2.409 | 2.314 | -51.6 | sl_hit | 2026-09-08 15:14 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur NEAR
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #7 / control #43.