LTC 49.36 $
rang relatif 18/25 · tier neutral · 7j -10.8% · 30j -17.7%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-11-12 17:12 · ATR1h 0.87% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 49 | 49.17 | 49.27 | 49.44 | 49.54 |
| 1h | 48.8 | 49.07 | 49.23 | 49.5 | 49.66 |
| 4h | 47.92 | 48.49 | 48.9 | 49.47 | 49.88 |
| 1d | 48.14 | 49.18 | 50.44 | 51.48 | 52.74 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 32.8% | 42 | 57 | 40 | court |
| macd ⚠ mismatch | 25.9% | 38 | 56 | 37 | court |
| bollinger | 24.8% | 82 | 100 | 73 | court |
| mean_reversion | 12.2% | 85 | 100 | 88 | court |
| vwap | 4.3% | 78 | 91 | 80 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 63 | 50 | 53 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-11-12 17:09 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | short | 51.45 | 49.9 | +86.8 | tp_hit | 2026-11-11 15:39 |
| random_ctrl | short | 52.06 | 50.04 | +202.3 | tp_hit | 2026-11-08 01:09 |
| evd | short | 52.43 | 52.6 | -9.3 | tp_trail | 2026-11-05 16:39 |
| evd | long | 55.62 | 54.65 | -62.0 | sl_hit | 2026-11-05 05:54 |
| control | short | 55.29 | 56.45 | -51.7 | sl_hit | 2026-11-04 14:39 |
| evd | long | 59.41 | 57.78 | -61.4 | sl_hit | 2026-10-28 22:29 |
| control | long | 55.7 | 57.4 | +108.4 | tp_hit | 2026-10-27 10:19 |
| evd | short | 56.41 | 56.81 | -36.9 | tp_trail | 2026-10-24 13:04 |
| random_ctrl | short | 57.75 | 56.29 | +66.6 | tp_hit | 2026-10-23 22:34 |
| control | long | 57.75 | 56.7 | -51.5 | sl_hit | 2026-10-23 21:54 |
| evd | short | 57.87 | 56.03 | +99.0 | tp_hit | 2026-10-23 21:34 |
| evd | short | 59.34 | 59.45 | -10.1 | tp_trail | 2026-10-22 14:04 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur LTC
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #12 / control #40.