LTC 53.64 $
rang relatif 3/25 · tier winner · 7j +4.9% · 30j +18.7%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-09-12 21:07 · ATR1h 0.413% · TP cible 2% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 53.54 | 53.59 | 53.68 | 53.73 | 53.82 |
| 1h | 53.54 | 53.59 | 53.68 | 53.73 | 53.82 |
| 4h | 53.23 | 53.43 | 53.77 | 53.97 | 54.31 |
| 1d | 50.77 | 52.01 | 53.14 | 54.38 | 55.51 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| trend_follow | 52.2% | 71 | 50 | 72 | court |
| macd ⚠ mismatch | 38.5% | 59 | 37 | 53 | court |
| bollinger ⚠ mismatch | 9.3% | 36 | 11 | 34 | court |
| vwap | 0.0% | 12 | 0 | 19 | court |
| mean_reversion | 0.0% | 32 | 3 | 34 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 46 | 24 | 56 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-09-11 04:29 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | long | 52.71 | 52.85 | +2.1 | time_stop | 2026-09-09 22:59 |
| evd | short | 53.13 | 52.9 | +6.8 | tp_trail | 2026-09-09 21:54 |
| random_ctrl | long | 53.72 | 52.9 | -52.9 | sl_hit | 2026-09-09 11:09 |
| control | long | 54.01 | 52.74 | -52.1 | sl_hit | 2026-09-08 18:54 |
| evd | long | 55.76 | 54.66 | -51.7 | sl_hit | 2026-09-08 10:24 |
| control | long | 56.21 | 54.1 | -51.7 | sl_hit | 2026-09-07 15:19 |
| evd | long | 57.57 | 55.43 | -49.3 | sl_hit | 2026-09-07 13:44 |
| evd | long | 55.53 | 58.41 | +95.4 | tp_hit | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| evd | long | 54.79 | 55.42 | +21.5 | tp_trail | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| evd | long | 53.63 | 54.45 | +34.9 | tp_trail | 2026-09-05 06:29 |
| evd | long | 49.2 | 53.63 | +197.3 | tp_hit | 2026-09-01 18:59 |
| evd | long | 49.87 | 49.1 | -46.5 | sl_hit | 2026-09-01 16:04 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur LTC
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #12 / control #40.