LINK 11.51 $
rang relatif 12/25 · tier neutral · 7j -0.7% · 30j +33.2%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-09-12 21:07 · ATR1h 0.477% · TP cible 2% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 11.47 | 11.48 | 11.51 | 11.52 | 11.54 |
| 1h | 11.41 | 11.45 | 11.49 | 11.54 | 11.58 |
| 4h | 11.36 | 11.42 | 11.51 | 11.56 | 11.66 |
| 1d | 10.71 | 11.13 | 11.67 | 12.08 | 12.62 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| vwap ⚠ mismatch | 80.5% | 12 | 0 | 19 | court |
| mean_reversion ⚠ mismatch | 14.9% | 32 | 3 | 34 | court |
| bollinger | 3.8% | 36 | 11 | 34 | court |
| trend_follow | 0.7% | 71 | 50 | 72 | court |
| rsi_divergence | 0.1% | 26 | 0 | 26 | court |
| macd | 0.0% | 59 | 37 | 53 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 46 | 63 | 77 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-09-11 02:59 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | long | 11.54 | 11.57 | +2.0 | time_stop | 2026-09-10 16:24 |
| evd | long | 11.54 | 11.57 | +1.9 | time_stop | 2026-09-10 16:24 |
| random_ctrl | long | 11.71 | 11.49 | -53.4 | sl_hit | 2026-09-10 12:34 |
| control | long | 12.23 | 11.97 | -52.5 | sl_hit | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| evd | long | 12.23 | 11.97 | -48.9 | sl_hit | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| random_ctrl | long | 12.53 | 12.3 | -54.4 | sl_hit | 2026-09-08 11:19 |
| control | long | 12.64 | 12.28 | -53.2 | sl_hit | 2026-09-07 22:49 |
| evd | long | 12.77 | 12.36 | -48.1 | sl_hit | 2026-09-07 20:49 |
| control | long | 11.13 | 11.66 | +95.8 | tp_hit | 2026-09-01 18:44 |
| evd | long | 11.13 | 11.66 | +79.2 | tp_hit | 2026-09-01 18:44 |
| evd | long | 11.14 | 11.35 | +26.0 | tp_trail | 2026-08-30 23:44 |
| evd | long | 11.17 | 11.14 | -5.5 | circuit_breaker | 2026-08-30 23:39 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur LINK
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #16 / control #41.