LINK 9.965 $
rang relatif 15/25 · tier neutral · 7j -11.0% · 30j -19.3%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-11-12 17:12 · ATR1h 1% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 9.91 | 9.948 | 9.981 | 10.02 | 10.05 |
| 1h | 9.887 | 9.936 | 9.992 | 10.04 | 10.1 |
| 4h | 9.651 | 9.806 | 9.915 | 10.07 | 10.18 |
| 1d | 9.669 | 9.925 | 10.26 | 10.51 | 10.85 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| vwap | 83.3% | 78 | 91 | 80 | court |
| mean_reversion | 12.2% | 85 | 100 | 88 | court |
| bollinger | 1.1% | 82 | 100 | 73 | court |
| macd | 1.1% | 38 | 56 | 37 | court |
| trend_follow | 1.1% | 42 | 57 | 40 | court |
| rsi_divergence | 1.1% | 41 | 82 | 52 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 63 | 70 | 77 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-11-12 15:59 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| evd | short | 10.67 | 10.5 | +24.1 | tp_trail | 2026-11-09 17:04 |
| random_ctrl | short | 10.63 | 10.96 | -53.5 | sl_hit | 2026-11-05 16:00 |
| random_ctrl | short | 11.25 | 10.86 | +111.1 | tp_hit | 2026-11-03 13:34 |
| evd | short | 11.51 | 11.78 | -46.1 | sl_hit | 2026-10-31 10:29 |
| random_ctrl | long | 11.66 | 11.34 | -52.8 | sl_hit | 2026-10-31 01:09 |
| random_ctrl | short | 10.95 | 11.51 | -52.7 | sl_hit | 2026-10-30 03:49 |
| random_ctrl | short | 10.44 | 10.93 | -53.1 | sl_hit | 2026-10-30 00:25 |
| random_ctrl | long | 11.71 | 11.55 | -56.2 | sl_hit | 2026-10-28 05:09 |
| random_ctrl | long | 11.31 | 11.66 | +90.1 | tp_hit | 2026-10-27 13:34 |
| control | long | 11.63 | 11.44 | -50.4 | sl_hit | 2026-10-24 12:29 |
| evd | long | 11.63 | 11.44 | -47.1 | sl_hit | 2026-10-24 12:29 |
| evd | short | 12.21 | 11.84 | +72.3 | tp_hit | 2026-10-23 07:49 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur LINK
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #16 / control #41.