ETH 2006 $
rang relatif 26/25 · tier laggard · 7j -15.2% · 30j -16.0%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-11-12 17:12 · ATR1h 0.852% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 1994 | 2000 | 2005 | 2012 | 2016 |
| 1h | 1982 | 1994 | 2011 | 2023 | 2040 |
| 4h | 1960 | 1984 | 2007 | 2031 | 2054 |
| 1d | 1995 | 2025 | 2065 | 2094 | 2134 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 79.9% | 42 | 57 | 40 | court |
| macd ⚠ mismatch | 18.6% | 38 | 56 | 37 | court |
| bollinger | 1.4% | 82 | 100 | 73 | court |
| vwap | 0.0% | 78 | 91 | 80 | court |
| rsi_divergence | 0.0% | 41 | 82 | 52 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 63 | 53 | 82 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-11-12 17:09 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| evd | short | 2024 | — | — | OPEN | 2026-11-12 16:14 |
| random_ctrl | short | 2012 | — | — | OPEN | 2026-11-12 16:09 |
| random_ctrl | short | 2037 | 2013 | +26.4 | tp_trail | 2026-11-11 23:19 |
| control | short | 2051 | 1988 | +48.8 | tp_hit | 2026-11-10 22:34 |
| evd | short | 2059 | 1988 | +44.2 | tp_hit | 2026-11-10 20:54 |
| evd | short | 2053 | 2059 | -6.8 | tp_trail | 2026-11-10 15:39 |
| random_ctrl | short | 2118 | 2053 | +64.5 | tp_hit | 2026-11-09 14:14 |
| control | short | 2126 | 2053 | +67.5 | tp_hit | 2026-11-09 12:44 |
| control | short | 2143 | 2126 | +12.9 | tp_trail | 2026-11-09 02:09 |
| random_ctrl | short | 2140 | 2126 | +11.1 | tp_trail | 2026-11-08 23:09 |
| evd | short | 2125 | 2053 | +62.7 | tp_hit | 2026-11-08 22:09 |
| evd | short | 2235 | 2159 | +217.0 | tp_hit | 2026-11-08 05:09 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur ETH
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #2 / control #44.