DOT 0.8246 $
rang relatif 22/25 · tier neutral · 7j -12.1% · 30j -28.2%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-11-12 17:12 · ATR1h 1.09% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 0.8213 | 0.8239 | 0.826 | 0.8286 | 0.8307 |
| 1h | 0.8174 | 0.8219 | 0.828 | 0.8325 | 0.8386 |
| 4h | 0.8026 | 0.8144 | 0.8255 | 0.8373 | 0.8484 |
| 1d | 0.7958 | 0.8174 | 0.8446 | 0.8662 | 0.8934 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| mean_reversion | 28.0% | 85 | 100 | 88 | court |
| bollinger | 22.9% | 82 | 100 | 73 | court |
| macd ⚠ mismatch | 22.2% | 38 | 56 | 37 | court |
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 20.5% | 42 | 57 | 40 | court |
| vwap | 6.4% | 78 | 91 | 80 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 63 | 53 | 53 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-11-12 17:09 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | short | 0.8648 | 0.8374 | +70.8 | tp_hit | 2026-11-11 17:19 |
| random_ctrl | short | 0.8409 | 0.8669 | -52.5 | sl_hit | 2026-11-10 18:34 |
| random_ctrl | short | 0.848 | 0.8626 | -53.8 | sl_hit | 2026-11-10 10:29 |
| random_ctrl | short | 0.8702 | 0.8703 | -2.2 | tp_trail | 2026-11-08 23:19 |
| control | long | 0.9457 | 0.9236 | -56.0 | sl_hit | 2026-11-05 06:29 |
| control | short | 0.9758 | 0.9459 | +52.1 | tp_hit | 2026-11-04 15:04 |
| control | short | 0.9572 | 0.9433 | +56.9 | tp_trail | 2026-11-01 17:39 |
| random_ctrl | short | 0.9567 | 0.9527 | +4.9 | time_stop | 2026-10-30 18:49 |
| evd | short | 0.9257 | 0.8837 | +40.7 | tp_hit | 2026-10-29 22:04 |
| random_ctrl | short | 0.9111 | 0.8924 | +22.9 | corr_derisk | 2026-10-29 20:54 |
| random_ctrl | long | 0.9939 | 0.9673 | -53.1 | sl_hit | 2026-10-29 17:49 |
| control | long | 0.9864 | 1.016 | +76.1 | tp_hit | 2026-10-27 13:29 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur DOT
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #6 / control #27.