DOT 1.028 $
rang relatif 1/25 · tier winner · 7j +15.7% · 30j +34.5%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-09-12 21:07 · ATR1h 0.739% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 1.023 | 1.024 | 1.026 | 1.027 | 1.029 |
| 1h | 1.018 | 1.022 | 1.026 | 1.03 | 1.034 |
| 4h | 1.009 | 1.017 | 1.03 | 1.038 | 1.051 |
| 1d | 0.9438 | 0.9919 | 1.077 | 1.125 | 1.21 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| macd ⚠ mismatch | 42.6% | 59 | 37 | 53 | court |
| trend_follow | 28.3% | 71 | 50 | 72 | court |
| bollinger ⚠ mismatch | 12.2% | 36 | 11 | 34 | court |
| vwap ⚠ mismatch | 11.9% | 12 | 0 | 19 | court |
| mean_reversion | 4.9% | 32 | 3 | 34 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 39 | 27 | 57 | 86 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-09-10 21:34 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| evd | short | 1.076 | 1.107 | -54.7 | sl_hit | 2026-09-10 16:24 |
| random_ctrl | long | 1.097 | 1.064 | -52.7 | sl_hit | 2026-09-10 12:54 |
| control | long | 1.099 | 1.068 | -56.2 | sl_hit | 2026-09-10 12:49 |
| evd | long | 1.129 | 1.085 | -55.2 | sl_hit | 2026-09-09 14:49 |
| evd | long | 1.173 | 1.13 | -55.5 | sl_hit | 2026-09-09 13:04 |
| control | long | 1.172 | 1.12 | -55.2 | sl_hit | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| evd | long | 1.207 | 1.177 | -20.5 | tp_trail | 2026-09-09 01:14 |
| evd | long | 1.238 | 1.207 | -26.6 | tp_trail | 2026-09-08 18:09 |
| evd | long | 1.178 | 1.238 | +53.5 | tp_hit | 2026-09-08 15:29 |
| evd | long | 1.126 | 1.178 | +53.2 | tp_hit | 2026-09-08 15:04 |
| control | long | 1.049 | 1.097 | +56.3 | tp_hit | 2026-09-08 06:34 |
| evd | long | 1.062 | 1.139 | +74.5 | tp_hit | 2026-09-07 19:59 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur DOT
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #6 / control #27.