BTC 7.169e+04 $
rang relatif 20/25 · tier neutral · 7j -8.1% · 30j -9.6%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-11-12 17:12 · ATR1h 0.63% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 7.131e+04 | 7.152e+04 | 7.168e+04 | 7.189e+04 | 7.205e+04 |
| 1h | 7.107e+04 | 7.14e+04 | 7.18e+04 | 7.212e+04 | 7.252e+04 |
| 4h | 7.01e+04 | 7.089e+04 | 7.201e+04 | 7.28e+04 | 7.392e+04 |
| 1d | 7.239e+04 | 7.319e+04 | 7.398e+04 | 7.477e+04 | 7.557e+04 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 44.6% | 42 | 57 | 40 | court |
| bollinger | 27.7% | 82 | 100 | 73 | court |
| vwap | 27.7% | 78 | 91 | 80 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 63 | 50 | 80 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-11-12 17:09 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | short | 7.259e+04 | — | — | OPEN | 2026-11-12 13:24 |
| control | short | 7.462e+04 | 7.396e+04 | +20.9 | tp_trail | 2026-11-09 12:24 |
| control | short | 7.614e+04 | 7.408e+04 | +347.4 | tp_hit | 2026-11-08 13:24 |
| evd | short | 7.583e+04 | 7.573e+04 | -0.5 | time_stop | 2026-11-05 22:04 |
| control | long | 7.885e+04 | 7.801e+04 | -47.3 | sl_hit | 2026-11-05 14:49 |
| evd | long | 7.885e+04 | 7.801e+04 | -42.6 | sl_hit | 2026-11-05 14:49 |
| evd | short | 7.799e+04 | 7.748e+04 | +8.6 | tp_trail | 2026-10-30 03:44 |
| control | short | 7.7e+04 | 7.766e+04 | -19.6 | time_stop | 2026-10-30 01:09 |
| control | long | 8.347e+04 | 8.249e+04 | -48.0 | sl_hit | 2026-10-22 01:59 |
| evd | long | 8.419e+04 | 8.332e+04 | -43.1 | sl_hit | 2026-10-22 01:14 |
| control | long | 8.429e+04 | 8.35e+04 | -49.8 | sl_hit | 2026-10-21 14:54 |
| control | short | 8.115e+04 | 8.218e+04 | -49.1 | sl_hit | 2026-10-15 03:09 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur BTC
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #1 / control #39.