BTC 7.717e+04 $
rang relatif 18/25 · tier neutral · 7j -3.0% · 30j +21.6%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-09-12 21:07 · ATR1h 0.145% · TP cible 1.5% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 7.708e+04 | 7.71e+04 | 7.715e+04 | 7.717e+04 | 7.721e+04 |
| 1h | 7.703e+04 | 7.708e+04 | 7.713e+04 | 7.718e+04 | 7.724e+04 |
| 4h | 7.68e+04 | 7.694e+04 | 7.716e+04 | 7.73e+04 | 7.752e+04 |
| 1d | 7.382e+04 | 7.551e+04 | 7.768e+04 | 7.937e+04 | 8.154e+04 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| trend_follow | 67.1% | 71 | 50 | 72 | court |
| bollinger ⚠ mismatch | 32.8% | 36 | 11 | 34 | court |
| vwap | 0.1% | 12 | 0 | 19 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 46 | 50 | 80 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-09-11 02:59 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | long | 7.852e+04 | 7.744e+04 | -50.7 | sl_hit | 2026-08-28 15:59 |
| control | long | 8.061e+04 | 7.945e+04 | -51.8 | sl_hit | 2026-08-27 17:19 |
| evd | long | 7.779e+04 | 7.941e+04 | +64.8 | tp_hit | 2026-08-26 14:59 |
| control | long | 7.794e+04 | 7.97e+04 | +62.5 | tp_hit | 2026-08-25 21:14 |
| control | long | 7.967e+04 | 7.835e+04 | -50.9 | sl_hit | 2026-08-25 08:04 |
| evd | long | 8.045e+04 | 7.914e+04 | -48.0 | sl_hit | 2026-08-25 04:04 |
| control | long | 7.914e+04 | 7.967e+04 | +12.8 | tp_trail | 2026-08-24 17:14 |
| control | long | 7.83e+04 | 7.598e+04 | -50.7 | sl_hit | 2026-08-21 21:54 |
| control | long | 7.93e+04 | 7.737e+04 | -50.9 | sl_hit | 2026-08-21 09:04 |
| control | long | 7.559e+04 | 7.795e+04 | +73.6 | tp_hit | 2026-08-21 01:54 |
| control | long | 7.269e+04 | 7.559e+04 | +90.8 | tp_hit | 2026-08-20 20:54 |
| control | long | 6.837e+04 | 7.07e+04 | +86.4 | tp_hit | 2026-08-19 17:09 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur BTC
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #1 / control #39.