BCH 224.7 $
rang relatif 24/25 · tier laggard · 7j -18.9% · 30j -14.0%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-11-12 17:12 · ATR1h 0.947% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 224.2 | 224.8 | 225.5 | 226.1 | 226.8 |
| 1h | 223.4 | 224.4 | 225.9 | 226.9 | 228.3 |
| 4h | 220.8 | 223.4 | 225.7 | 228.4 | 230.7 |
| 1d | 219 | 223.6 | 228.9 | 233.5 | 238.8 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| volume_breakout ⚠ mismatch | 23.7% | 6 | 13 | 8 | court |
| vwap | 23.6% | 78 | 91 | 80 | court |
| bollinger | 21.1% | 82 | 100 | 73 | court |
| macd ⚠ mismatch | 14.7% | 38 | 56 | 37 | court |
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 11.9% | 42 | 57 | 40 | court |
| mean_reversion | 5.1% | 85 | 100 | 88 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 63 | 44 | 53 | 86 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-11-12 17:09 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| random_ctrl | short | 227.7 | — | — | OPEN | 2026-11-12 09:04 |
| control | short | 225.9 | — | — | OPEN | 2026-11-11 23:24 |
| random_ctrl | short | 231.4 | 228.5 | +28.0 | tp_trail | 2026-11-10 15:39 |
| control | short | 234.2 | 231.8 | +26.8 | tp_trail | 2026-11-10 14:04 |
| control | short | 238.7 | 243.8 | -56.4 | sl_hit | 2026-11-08 21:59 |
| control | short | 246.9 | 238.7 | +73.6 | tp_hit | 2026-11-07 20:54 |
| random_ctrl | short | 256.7 | 246.9 | +136.2 | tp_hit | 2026-11-07 11:09 |
| control | short | 261.8 | 246.9 | +149.1 | tp_hit | 2026-11-07 04:14 |
| random_ctrl | long | 284.4 | 282.3 | -17.6 | tp_trail | 2026-11-04 15:15 |
| control | long | 284.4 | 282.3 | -17.0 | tp_trail | 2026-11-04 15:14 |
| control | short | 269.4 | 274.7 | -54.6 | sl_hit | 2026-11-04 04:14 |
| random_ctrl | short | 266.2 | 271.4 | -56.8 | sl_hit | 2026-11-04 03:14 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur BCH
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #13 / control #45.