AVAX 8.318 $
rang relatif 4/25 · tier winner · 7j -2.6% · 30j -16.1%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-11-12 17:12 · ATR1h 1.32% · TP cible 4.5% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 8.276 | 8.304 | 8.34 | 8.368 | 8.404 |
| 1h | 8.244 | 8.288 | 8.35 | 8.394 | 8.456 |
| 4h | 8.094 | 8.235 | 8.366 | 8.507 | 8.638 |
| 1d | 8.171 | 8.339 | 8.539 | 8.707 | 8.907 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| bollinger | 77.1% | 82 | 100 | 73 | court |
| vwap | 22.5% | 78 | 91 | 80 | court |
| trend_follow | 0.3% | 42 | 57 | 40 | court |
| macd | 0.0% | 38 | 56 | 37 | court |
| volume_breakout | 0.0% | 6 | 13 | 8 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 63 | 48 | 53 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-11-12 14:59 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| random_ctrl | short | 8.429 | 8.349 | +20.2 | tp_trail | 2026-11-05 15:15 |
| control | long | 8.64 | 8.473 | -52.3 | sl_hit | 2026-11-05 12:44 |
| evd | long | 8.689 | 8.531 | -46.7 | sl_hit | 2026-11-05 12:24 |
| evd | short | 8.666 | 8.392 | +78.7 | tp_hit | 2026-11-03 12:29 |
| control | long | 8.653 | 8.406 | -55.3 | circuit_breaker | 2026-10-29 20:39 |
| evd | long | 8.653 | 8.406 | -51.1 | circuit_breaker | 2026-10-29 20:39 |
| control | long | 9.138 | 9.167 | +6.6 | tp_trail | 2026-10-22 22:09 |
| evd | long | 9.462 | 9.208 | -49.9 | sl_hit | 2026-10-22 02:19 |
| control | short | 9.802 | 9.773 | +4.9 | tp_trail | 2026-10-20 14:29 |
| evd | short | 9.802 | 9.773 | +4.7 | tp_trail | 2026-10-20 14:29 |
| control | short | 9.783 | 9.802 | -6.5 | circuit_breaker | 2026-10-20 14:24 |
| evd | short | 9.783 | 9.802 | -6.2 | circuit_breaker | 2026-10-20 14:24 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur AVAX
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #5 / control #37.