AVAX 7.386 $
rang relatif 11/25 · tier neutral · 7j +1.0% · 30j +18.1%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-09-12 21:07 · ATR1h 0.4% · TP cible 2% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 7.365 | 7.372 | 7.384 | 7.391 | 7.403 |
| 1h | 7.34 | 7.359 | 7.378 | 7.397 | 7.416 |
| 4h | 7.309 | 7.335 | 7.382 | 7.408 | 7.455 |
| 1d | 6.956 | 7.207 | 7.522 | 7.773 | 8.088 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| bollinger ⚠ mismatch | 59.0% | 36 | 11 | 34 | long |
| vwap ⚠ mismatch | 34.5% | 12 | 0 | 19 | long |
| trend_follow | 5.3% | 71 | 50 | 72 | long |
| macd | 0.6% | 59 | 37 | 53 | long |
| volume_breakout | 0.6% | 75 | 40 | 76 | long |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 61 | 20 | 57 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-09-10 18:24 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | long | 7.754 | 7.58 | -54.5 | sl_hit | 2026-09-09 22:14 |
| evd | long | 7.791 | 7.633 | -61.0 | sl_hit | 2026-09-09 21:54 |
| evd | long | 7.812 | 7.844 | +9.5 | tp_trail | 2026-09-09 15:29 |
| control | long | 7.928 | 7.791 | -55.9 | sl_hit | 2026-09-09 03:24 |
| evd | long | 7.928 | 7.939 | +1.7 | tp_trail | 2026-09-09 03:24 |
| evd | long | 7.903 | 7.957 | +18.3 | tp_trail | 2026-09-08 13:39 |
| evd | long | 8.026 | 8.028 | -1.4 | tp_trail | 2026-09-07 22:44 |
| evd | long | 7.14 | 7.445 | +111.3 | tp_hit | 2026-09-02 01:44 |
| control | long | 7.139 | 7.251 | +35.3 | tp_trail | 2026-08-30 23:39 |
| evd | long | 7.121 | 7.251 | +41.7 | tp_trail | 2026-08-30 23:34 |
| control | long | 7.295 | 7.452 | +49.7 | tp_hit | 2026-08-28 17:04 |
| evd | long | 7.286 | 7.452 | +55.5 | tp_hit | 2026-08-28 16:19 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur AVAX
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #5 / control #37.