ARB 0.1456 $
rang relatif 3/25 · tier winner · 7j -6.5% · 30j -15.5%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-11-12 17:12 · ATR1h 1.25% · TP cible 4.5% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 0.1451 | 0.1457 | 0.1461 | 0.1467 | 0.1472 |
| 1h | 0.1446 | 0.1454 | 0.1463 | 0.1472 | 0.1481 |
| 4h | 0.1394 | 0.1428 | 0.1455 | 0.149 | 0.1516 |
| 1d | 0.1391 | 0.1454 | 0.1572 | 0.1635 | 0.1753 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| mean_reversion | 57.0% | 85 | 100 | 88 | court |
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 28.8% | 42 | 57 | 40 | court |
| vwap | 13.9% | 78 | 91 | 80 | court |
| volume_breakout | 0.3% | 6 | 13 | 8 | court |
| bollinger | 0.0% | 82 | 100 | 73 | court |
| rsi_divergence | 0.0% | 41 | 82 | 52 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 63 | 95 | 83 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-11-12 17:09 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | short | 0.1535 | 0.1479 | +58.3 | tp_hit | 2026-11-11 23:14 |
| control | short | 0.1644 | 0.1609 | +26.6 | tp_trail | 2026-11-11 01:34 |
| control | short | 0.1573 | 0.1641 | -54.7 | sl_hit | 2026-11-10 16:39 |
| control | short | 0.1651 | 0.1573 | +73.5 | tp_hit | 2026-11-10 14:44 |
| random_ctrl | short | 0.1532 | 0.1579 | -51.6 | sl_hit | 2026-11-05 15:55 |
| control | long | 0.1635 | 0.1655 | +14.4 | corr_derisk | 2026-11-04 17:19 |
| evd | short | 0.1676 | 0.1654 | +16.6 | tp_trail | 2026-11-04 15:39 |
| control | short | 0.1664 | 0.1718 | -50.8 | circuit_breaker | 2026-11-04 14:59 |
| evd | short | 0.1664 | 0.1718 | -50.5 | circuit_breaker | 2026-11-04 14:59 |
| control | short | 0.167 | 0.1664 | +4.5 | circuit_breaker | 2026-11-04 14:54 |
| evd | short | 0.167 | 0.1664 | +4.5 | circuit_breaker | 2026-11-04 14:54 |
| control | short | 0.1621 | 0.1561 | +81.2 | tp_hit | 2026-11-03 12:54 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur ARB
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #18 / control #31.