ADA 0.2077 $
rang relatif 19/25 · tier neutral · 7j -2.4% · 30j +13.0%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-09-12 21:07 · ATR1h 0.526% · TP cible 2% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 0.207 | 0.2073 | 0.2077 | 0.208 | 0.2084 |
| 1h | 0.2064 | 0.2069 | 0.2076 | 0.2081 | 0.2088 |
| 4h | 0.2057 | 0.2064 | 0.2075 | 0.2082 | 0.2093 |
| 1d | 0.1913 | 0.1988 | 0.2075 | 0.215 | 0.2237 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| macd | 27.3% | 59 | 37 | 53 | long |
| trend_follow | 23.3% | 71 | 50 | 72 | long |
| bollinger ⚠ mismatch | 21.3% | 36 | 11 | 34 | long |
| volume_breakout | 15.8% | 75 | 40 | 76 | long |
| mean_reversion ⚠ mismatch | 11.5% | 32 | 3 | 34 | long |
| rsi_divergence | 0.8% | 26 | 0 | 26 | long |
| vwap | 0.0% | 12 | 0 | 19 | long |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 54 | 44 | 55 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-09-11 04:24 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| random_ctrl | short | 0.211 | 0.2093 | +12.7 | tp_trail | 2026-09-10 14:05 |
| evd | long | 0.2106 | 0.2055 | -58.8 | sl_hit | 2026-09-10 12:44 |
| random_ctrl | long | 0.2139 | 0.2087 | -51.9 | sl_hit | 2026-09-10 05:19 |
| control | long | 0.2109 | 0.2049 | -57.1 | sl_hit | 2026-09-09 23:09 |
| random_ctrl | short | 0.2154 | 0.2139 | +10.9 | tp_trail | 2026-09-09 16:04 |
| evd | long | 0.2136 | 0.2141 | +2.9 | tp_trail | 2026-09-09 15:29 |
| control | long | 0.2157 | 0.2097 | -57.3 | sl_hit | 2026-09-09 15:19 |
| random_ctrl | long | 0.2208 | 0.2156 | -52.3 | sl_hit | 2026-09-09 12:24 |
| evd | long | 0.2277 | 0.2208 | -62.0 | sl_hit | 2026-09-08 16:24 |
| random_ctrl | long | 0.228 | 0.2209 | -52.4 | sl_hit | 2026-09-08 15:39 |
| evd | long | 0.2297 | 0.229 | -7.6 | corr_derisk | 2026-09-08 15:34 |
| random_ctrl | short | 0.2166 | 0.2219 | -53.3 | sl_hit | 2026-09-08 12:09 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur ADA
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #4 / control #48.