AAVE 125.9 $
rang relatif 16/25 · tier neutral · 7j -4.1% · 30j +42.1%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-09-12 21:07 · ATR1h 0.669% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 125.4 | 125.6 | 126 | 126.2 | 126.6 |
| 1h | 125.4 | 125.6 | 126.1 | 126.3 | 126.7 |
| 4h | 125 | 125.5 | 126.1 | 126.6 | 127.1 |
| 1d | 115.6 | 120.3 | 125.2 | 129.9 | 134.9 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| macd ⚠ mismatch | 56.8% | 59 | 37 | 53 | court |
| trend_follow | 40.9% | 71 | 50 | 72 | court |
| volume_breakout | 2.0% | 75 | 40 | 76 | court |
| vwap | 0.2% | 12 | 0 | 19 | court |
| mean_reversion | 0.1% | 32 | 3 | 34 | court |
| bollinger | 0.0% | 36 | 11 | 34 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 46 | 55 | 58 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-09-11 04:19 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | short | 122 | 124.6 | -53.9 | sl_hit | 2026-09-10 12:54 |
| evd | short | 122.8 | 121.5 | +25.3 | corr_derisk | 2026-09-10 11:04 |
| evd | short | 125.9 | 123.8 | +34.7 | corr_derisk | 2026-09-09 20:04 |
| control | long | 126 | 122.8 | -53.3 | sl_hit | 2026-09-09 19:59 |
| random_ctrl | long | 128 | 129.1 | +18.9 | tp_trail | 2026-09-09 03:34 |
| evd | short | 129.9 | 130 | -3.8 | tp_trail | 2026-09-08 16:19 |
| evd | short | 129.7 | 130.5 | -21.1 | tp_trail | 2026-09-08 12:04 |
| random_ctrl | long | 130.6 | 127.6 | -51.0 | sl_hit | 2026-09-07 22:44 |
| random_ctrl | long | 132.4 | 132.9 | +5.4 | tp_trail | 2026-09-07 07:54 |
| control | long | 139.4 | 135.5 | -53.3 | sl_hit | 2026-09-06 01:49 |
| evd | long | 127.5 | 129.3 | +23.5 | tp_trail | 2026-09-01 15:04 |
| evd | long | 127 | 126.2 | -21.6 | tp_trail | 2026-09-01 05:49 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur AAVE
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #15 / control #29.