AAVE 113.3 $
rang relatif 11/25 · tier neutral · 7j -8.5% · 30j -23.1%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-11-12 17:12 · ATR1h 1.29% · TP cible 4.5% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 112.8 | 113.1 | 113.6 | 113.9 | 114.5 |
| 1h | 111.9 | 112.6 | 113.6 | 114.4 | 115.3 |
| 4h | 108.9 | 111 | 112.7 | 114.8 | 116.6 |
| 1d | 114.6 | 117.6 | 121.5 | 124.5 | 128.5 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| macd ⚠ mismatch | 56.8% | 38 | 56 | 37 | court |
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 40.9% | 42 | 57 | 40 | court |
| volume_breakout | 2.0% | 6 | 13 | 8 | court |
| vwap | 0.2% | 78 | 91 | 80 | court |
| mean_reversion | 0.1% | 85 | 100 | 88 | court |
| bollinger | 0.0% | 82 | 100 | 73 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 63 | 94 | 79 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-11-12 17:09 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| evd | short | 111.3 | — | — | OPEN | 2026-11-12 13:14 |
| evd | short | 123.2 | 118 | +51.9 | tp_hit | 2026-11-10 18:34 |
| random_ctrl | short | 132.7 | 128.7 | +41.8 | tp_hit | 2026-11-09 12:24 |
| random_ctrl | short | 132.3 | 131.7 | +9.0 | tp_trail | 2026-11-07 07:49 |
| evd | short | 126.2 | 128.5 | -28.2 | tp_trail | 2026-11-05 15:19 |
| evd | long | 136.5 | 132.1 | -53.1 | sl_hit | 2026-11-04 15:09 |
| control | short | 129.8 | 133.3 | -52.8 | circuit_breaker | 2026-11-04 07:04 |
| control | short | 126 | 129 | -45.2 | sl_hit | 2026-11-04 04:29 |
| evd | short | 126 | 129.2 | -55.3 | sl_hit | 2026-11-04 04:29 |
| evd | short | 124 | 126.8 | -56.0 | sl_hit | 2026-11-04 03:09 |
| evd | short | 126.3 | 127.1 | -13.9 | tp_trail | 2026-11-03 04:34 |
| evd | short | 127 | 126.3 | +9.7 | tp_trail | 2026-11-03 00:24 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur AAVE
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #15 / control #29.